Catalonia Elections In December

The Daily Mail has a very detailed article BREAKING NEWS: Catalonia’s president flees to Brussels after Belgium offered him asylum as Spain issues him with €6 MILLION bail and announces plan to charge senior officials with sedition and rebellion, describing the entire Catalonia situation.

Former Ukip leader Nigel Farage said the declaration of independence had been caused by the ‘appalling behaviour’ of the Spanish Government who had pushed Catalonia ‘too far’.

He added: ‘This is going to turn into the EU’s most undesired nightmare.’

A near worst case scenario is now in play. Carles Puigdemont has fled to Brussels.

Prime Minister Rajoy tweeted after the vote, “I ask all Spaniards to remain calm. The rule of law will restore legality in Catalonia.”

The Spanish central government has scheduled elections in December. If and when those occur, the current odds are that the separatists will lose their majority. Who thinks that the separatists will do everything they can to create an incident before then? The next few weeks are going to be a test for Rajoy. Can he keep things from getting very bloody between now and then?

In all honesty, the Spain’s central government is probably in the right. The problem is that they have handled the situation in the worst possible way, as far as appearances go. The separatists are playing the press brilliantly. While the separatists are poised to deliver misery and financial ruin, they have managed to keep all of the focus on the central government’s tone-deafness. Think about it, the separatists are not the majority, yet they are playing it as if they are. The majority, is doing stupid things like giving nazi-like salutes in marches. I hope that there are lots of troops deployed and that they keep their fingers off the triggers.

If I was Rajoy, I would be doing my best to find dirt on Carles Puigdemont and speaker Carme Forcadell. If they are clean, which I really doubt, I would see what I could do to create an environment that suggests a conflict of interest of some kind. Failing that, a car accident would be very useful. I would make sure the car was very expensive, drugs were found, and that bottles of alcohol were everywhere. My attitude is that if the central government can’t make themselves look good, why not make the separatists leaders look dirty?

This is fascinating to watch, but I would not want to be there.

Catalan vote finished and the misery begins

10/27/2017 at about 9:00 am cst. I am watching FRANCE24 livestream of the Barcelona declaration of independence.

Okay, they have taken the vote and decided to be independent. Naturally, the Spanish central government had already removed Catalan autonomy.

During this process I’ve noticed a few things. The central government has done almost everything they could to look like the bad guys. The Catalan separatists are no saints, but they are better at marketing.

The issues are now lethal.

Is the central government ready to use military force? Are the Catalans ready to do so as well? Is the central government capable of running Catalan in ANY CASE? The central government is, at best, utterly incompetent. If they can’t handle what they already have, is there ANY possibility that they won’t train wreck in Catalonia? Franco ran Spain with an iron hand for years. I don’t believe the central government has the stones to play the game that he did.

Making all of this even more fun will be the European Union. They will resist and independence to the last bullet. They don’t want their own civil disorder. The EU will look bad no matter what they do or do not do.

I foresee a hostile central government occupation with a civil resistance forming and hardening within a couple of weeks.

The basque autonomous community, along with the Catalan peoples, are not going to fold easily.

The smart play would be for the central government to negotiate a separation. There are no up sides for them in this mess.

Make no mistake, the Catalan and the Basque communities are in for a rude awakening. Even if they get everything they want, they will have at least a generation or two of confusion and internal political unrest. The separatists need to move fast and deliver quickly. A sales job is one thing, but actually running a new country isn’t so simple.

Tourism is the one thing that was really helping the Spanish coffers. So much for that income stream!

Today is a day to rejoice if you live outside of the former borders of Spain.